If you have a startup and are seeking investment beyond friends and family, you have to offer a product or service with exponential growth potential. Given that most startups fail, linear growth doesn’t justify the risk for investors. Your investors would also like to see your revenue estimates, i.e.
financial projection/forecast.
Once you can genuinely convince yourself and others of your startup's exponential growth potential, the next step is to estimate the
total addressable market and your projected share of it 12 months after launching your product and beginning aggressive marketing. You should also make a realistic revenue estimate for the first month. Assuming a
logistic growth pattern—characterized by rapid early growth that slows as it nears a saturation point—you can then project revenue for each subsequent month.
For example, if revenue at product launch + 1 month is estimated as 30K$, and revenue at +12months as 5M$, the logistic function becomes (n: month):
Using this equation, you can calculate revenue targets for each month: